Model Lab · beta

Experiment with the atmosphere.

A real weather model in your browser, for Europe and North America. Start from a real weather map, move a low or build a high, and see what happens over the next ten days.

Open Model Lab

Free. No account, nothing to install. Works best in Chrome or Edge on a computer.

Pushing up a ridge over Scandinavia

Start from a famous situation.

Real weather maps from the day itself. Play them as the model sees them, or step in and see if it could have gone differently.

Temperature at 850 hPa, 11 February 2021

February 2021

Winter in the Benelux · 11 Feb 12 UTC

Snow and hard frost. Can you make the winter last longer?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 29 December 1978 Car stranded in the snow on a motorway, 31 December 197831 December 1978

Blizzard, New Year 1978

Blizzard in the northern Netherlands · 29 Dec 12 UTC

Arctic air clashes with mild air over the Netherlands, with a blizzard in the north. Can you move the boundary?

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Weather map, Beast from the East, 2018 Deep snow drifts in a village lane, England, 1 March 20181 March 2018

Beast from the East, 2018

Siberian easterlies · 24 Feb 12 UTC

The Scandinavian high is building and the cold is waiting over Russia. Strengthen the high, or make Britain miss the cold?

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Weather map, December 2010 Sledging in a snowstorm in Abbey Fields, Kenilworth, 18 December 201018 December 2010

December 2010

Snow and hard frost · 15 Dec 00 UTC

Britain's coldest December in over a century, with snow across almost all of Europe. Can you hold the snow back?

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Weather map, Storm Ciarán, November 2023

Storm Ciarán, November 2023

Deep autumn storm · 1 Nov 00 UTC

Ciarán is still far out over the Atlantic. Steer it north, or make it even deeper?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 2 February 2012

February 2012

Cold wave · 2 Feb 12 UTC

Bitter cold over Russia. Can you steer it towards the Benelux?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 9 February 2012 Skating on the frozen canals at Kinderdijk, 11 February 201211 February 2012

Elfstedentocht fever, February 2012

Hard frost, thaw on the way · 9 Feb 12 UTC

Bitter cold, and the whole of the Netherlands hopes for the first Elfstedentocht, the legendary 200 km race on natural ice, since 1997. But the thaw comes too soon. Can you hold on to the cold?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 13 February 2025

February 2025

Near-miss cold spell · 13 Feb 12 UTC

The worst of the cold just missed the Benelux. Would a small nudge do it?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 27 January 2024

January 2024

Strong westerlies · 27 Jan 12 UTC

Mild westerlies across the whole Atlantic. Can you break them?

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Temperature at 850 hPa, 31 December 2025

New Year's Eve 2025

Cold spell · 31 Dec 12 UTC

Cold air pours in around New Year. How long will it hold?

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Temperature at 850 hPa over Europe

Today

The latest weather map

Start from today's weather and put the GFS forecast next to it.

Start from now ›
Shape

Push up a ridge, pull down a trough.

Shape the 500 hPa map, the surface pressure or the temperature at one and a half kilometres. The model adjusts wind and temperature to your change and runs on.

Move

Grab a low and drag it away.

What if that storm had passed a hundred kilometres further south? Drag it there and press play.

Compare

See what your change did.

Next to your version, the original runs along without your change. Or put the real GFS forecast next to it. Switch between the 500 hPa map, the temperature at 850 hPa and the sea surface.

500 hPa, 11 February 2021
500 hPa
Temperature at 850 hPa, 11 February 2021
Temperature at 850 hPa
Sea surface

Cool the ocean down, or warm it up.

The ocean is Western Europe's central heating. Slide the Atlantic and the European seas up to 15 degrees colder or 5 degrees warmer, and see what is left of the mild westerlies after ten days.

In this example (February 2021, Atlantic 10 degrees colder) the air at one and a half kilometres is about 5 degrees colder over Ireland and Britain after ten days, and 4 degrees over the Benelux.

Temperature at 850 hPa after 10 days, original
Original, after 10 days
Temperature at 850 hPa after 10 days, Atlantic 10 degrees colder
Atlantic 10 °C colder

A real model, on your own computer.

No prerecorded animations: every run is computed live, in your browser.

1The starting map

A real analysis of the atmosphere: NOAA GFS for recent days, NOAA's NCEP reanalysis and Copernicus ERA5 for past situations.

2The model

Our own simplified weather model that computes the atmosphere in layers, on your computer's graphics card.

3Your change

Whatever you shape or move, the model first balances, so that wind and pressure fit together.

4Ten days ahead

Press play and follow what happens, hour by hour, next to the original.

21famous weather situations
10days ahead per run
67 kmfinest grid
0.72 / GFS 0.92ACC 500 hPa after 5 days, winter

How good is the model? On 16 winter days (December 2025 to February 2026), Model Lab still follows the 500 hPa weather pattern over Europe and the Atlantic well after 3 days (ACC 0.89, GFS 0.99) and reasonably after 5 days (0.72, GFS 0.92). An ACC of 1 is perfect; below 0.6 a forecast is no longer useful. How we measure this.

Model Lab is made for experimenting and learning, not for forecasting. It comes from Meteoproof, which compares the real weather models with observations every day. For that, see the front page.

Photos: 1978 Koen Suyk / Anefo, Nationaal Archief (CC0) · 2010 John Brightley, geograph.org.uk (CC BY-SA 2.0) · 2012 IngevGelder (CC BY-SA 3.0 NL) · 2018 Mark Anderson, geograph.org.uk (CC BY-SA 2.0)

What if it had gone differently?

Open Model Lab

Free. No account, nothing to install.